Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.033276 0.039015 0.045350 0.052848 0.061464 0.071041 0.082479
2025-04-20 0.025495 0.033151 0.042406 0.054360 0.069327 0.087381 0.110730
2025-04-27 0.020215 0.028808 0.040057 0.055728 0.076837 0.104103 0.141778
2025-05-04 0.015483 0.024013 0.036026 0.053946 0.079707 0.115053 0.166786
2025-05-11 0.012387 0.020749 0.033329 0.053274 0.083642 0.127562 0.195119
2025-05-18 0.009849 0.017741 0.030369 0.051553 0.085549 0.137122 0.220077
2025-05-25 0.008020 0.015462 0.028071 0.050353 0.087863 0.147272 0.246735
2025-06-01 0.006828 0.014012 0.026839 0.050597 0.092349 0.161061 0.280245
2025-06-08 0.005648 0.012330 0.024891 0.049248 0.093869 0.170056 0.306748
2025-06-15 0.005167 0.011898 0.025122 0.051783 0.102367 0.191443 0.355821
2025-06-22 0.004477 0.010894 0.024085 0.051759 0.106166 0.204998 0.392597
2025-06-29 0.003761 0.009681 0.022422 0.050243 0.106916 0.213090 0.420318
2025-07-06 0.003187 0.008684 0.021072 0.049222 0.108614 0.223308 0.453350
2025-07-13 0.002961 0.008471 0.021387 0.051741 0.117703 0.248358 0.516428
2025-07-20 0.002715 0.008154 0.021413 0.053633 0.125716 0.272086 0.579122
2025-07-27 0.002303 0.007307 0.020054 0.052203 0.126482 0.281498 0.614665
2025-08-03 0.002002 0.006696 0.019155 0.051699 0.129179 0.295036 0.659588
2025-08-10 0.001696 0.005989 0.017886 0.050098 0.129181 0.302904 0.693533
2025-08-17 0.001455 0.005420 0.016871 0.048965 0.130102 0.312761 0.732409
2025-08-24 0.001300 0.005083 0.016426 0.049222 0.134339 0.330198 0.788850
2025-08-31 0.001114 0.004591 0.015450 0.047915 0.134578 0.338701 0.826501
2025-09-07 0.001064 0.004563 0.015835 0.050393 0.144601 0.370384 0.918136
2025-09-14 0.000949 0.004269 0.015358 0.050372 0.148199 0.387440 0.978072